Wednesday, January 31, 2007

PS3 price will fall

Analyst contradicts Sony itself!

by Chris Ford
PS3 price will fall Image

29 January 2007 - Having brought you news of the pricing difficulties that Sony are having with the PS3 a few days ago, a securities analyst has stepped in to say that prices will fall, and within 12 months!

Wedbush Morgan Securities analyst Michael Pachter predicts that the PS3 will sell out in Europe by May, and a price cut of more than EUR 150 will come inside a year.

"I'm actually surprised that consoles are not priced more like other consumer electronics, with early movers charged a bunch and the mass market charged less", Pachter said, using the example of DVD players, which are now available for much lower prices than when they first launched.

He continued to debate whether the high price will impact sales, stating, "The PS3 can command £425 from the hardcore and I think you'll see price cuts a year from now, probably to £300".

Pachter reckons the PS3 will sell out double quick time in the UK with the rest of Europe following.

"There will be a few more games by then, with several great games announced for release in May and beyond, so I expect a full sellout by the end of April", he said.

He went on to say that being beaten to the post both by Wii and Xbox360 won't dampen the PS3's performance.

"March is not too late, given Sony's production problems and only 800,000 Wiis sold in Europe last quarter", he stated.

"My guess is that the Wii will be up to near 1.6-2 million by March 23, but that is far from an insurmountable head start."

Pachter also commented on the PS3's graphics and that the cost of using one in conjunction with a 1080p monitor is "worth every penny".

"I think that games like Gears of War on the 360 look every bit as good, but given that PS3 game development was rushed, I fully expect next year's games to look better on the PS3", Pachter summed up.

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PlayStation 3 Details

Suggested retail price by region*
Region Expected pricing at release
Basic Premium
Japan Japan JP¥49,980 Open price
United States United States US$499 US$599
Canada Canada C$549 C$659
Mexico Mexico MXN$7,999 MXN$9,499
European Union Eurozone
(excluding Finland)
499 €599
United Kingdom United Kingdom GB£375† GB£425†
Switzerland Switzerland
CHF 749 CHF 899
Norway Norway
-
5000 NOK
Denmark Denmark 4295 DKK 5495 DKK†
Sweden Sweden
-
5999 SEK
Finland Finland €550 €650
Australia Australia A$829 A$999
New Zealand New Zealand NZ$999†
NZ$1199.95†
The PS3's 3.2 GHz Cell processor, developed jointly by Sony, Toshiba and IBM ("SIT"), is an implementation to dynamically assign physical processor cores to do different types of work independantly. It has a PowerPC-based "Power Processing Element" (PPE) and six accessible 3.2 GHz Synergistic Processing Elements (SPEs), a seventh runs in a special mode and is dedicated to OS security, and an eighth disabled to improve production yields. The PPE, SPE's and other elements ("units") are connected via an Element Interconnect Bus which serves to connect all of the units in a ring-style bus. The PPE has a 512KB level 2 cache and one VMX vector unit. Each of the SPEs is a RISC processor with 128 128-bit SIMD GPRs and superscalar functions. Each SPE contains 256KB of non-cached memory (local storage, "LS") that is shared by program code and work data. SPEs may access more data in the main memory using DMA. The floating point performance of the whole system (CPU + GPU) is reported to be 2.18 TFLOPS[38]. PlayStation 3's Cell CPU achieves 218 GFLOPS single precision float and is reported at around 26 GFLOPS double precision. The PS3 will ship with 256 MB of Rambus XDR DRAM, clocked at CPU die speed.